Dangerous Straits: Wargaming a U.S.-China Conflict over Taiwan

In a special collaboration with NBC’s Meet the Press, The Gaming Lab at CNAS executed a strategic-operational wargame examining a how a potential war with China over Taiwan could unfold in 2027. The wargame, featured as an episode of Meet the Press Reports, sought to highlight the dilemmas U.S. and Chinese policymakers might face in a future conflict. The aim was to identify how the United States and its allies and partners could deter China from invading Taiwan and prevent a war while still positioning themselves to defend Taiwan and defeat China’s aggression should deterrence fail.

Participants of the game representing both the China and U.S. teams will join this panel to discuss why they made certain choices and highlight their lessons learned from the wargame and what it means for U.S. defense policy.